Friday, December 25, 2009

Week 16 Picks

1) Merry Christmas
2) 5 Weeks above 50% ATS was pretty sweet, but it couldn't last forever, so going 6-7 Week 15 isn't terrible.
3) This is probably the last week of the regular season to be simulated. The Super Bowl will definitely be simulated.

Week 16 Picks, Stats & Fantasy
Posted by The Sim Capper at 10:11 AM 0 comments

Wednesday, December 16, 2009

Week 15 Picks

The past 4 weeks have been pretty awesome. 51-13 (79.7%) SU; 43-17 (71.7%) ATS; 42-19 (68.9%) O/U.

That's right... 72% ATS over 60 games.

Here's the +60% accuracy for the past 4 weeks: 
SU: 32-5 (86.5%)
ATS: 28-5 (84.8%)
O/U: 13-5 (72.2%)


(NBA Sim Capper is 18-6 (75%) ATS since 12/2)

***** If you've had a great couple weeks as well, please make a donation to keep this site free *****

Week 15 Picks, Stats & Fantasy
Week 14 Picks, Stats & Fantasy
Week 13 Picks, Stats & Fantasy
Week 12 Picks, Stats & Fantasy
Week 11 Picks, Stats & Fantasy 
Week 10 Picks, Stats & Fantasy 
Week 9 Picks, Stats & Fantasy
Week 8 Picks, Stats & Fantasy 
Week 7 Picks, Stats & Fantasy 
Week 6 Picks, Stats & Fantasy
Week 5 Picks, Stats & Fantasy 
Week 4 Picks, Stats & Fantasy 
Week 3 Picks, Stats & Fantasy
Week 2 Picks, Stats & Fantasy 
Week 1 Picks, Stats & Fantasy
Overall Results 
Posted by The Sim Capper at 7:57 PM 0 comments

Wednesday, December 9, 2009

Week 14 Picks

Picks will be up over the next couple days... let's hope the streak continues.
---
Picks are up, fantasy projections are up, Pittsburgh is awful, happy Hanukkah, congrats Colt, Hook 'Em!

Week 14 Picks, Stats & Fantasy
Week 13 Picks, Stats & Fantasy
Week 12 Picks, Stats & Fantasy
Week 11 Picks, Stats & Fantasy 
Week 10 Picks, Stats & Fantasy 
Week 9 Picks, Stats & Fantasy
Week 8 Picks, Stats & Fantasy 
Week 7 Picks, Stats & Fantasy 
Week 6 Picks, Stats & Fantasy
Week 5 Picks, Stats & Fantasy 
Week 4 Picks, Stats & Fantasy 
Week 3 Picks, Stats & Fantasy
Week 2 Picks, Stats & Fantasy 
Week 1 Picks, Stats & Fantasy
Overall Results 
Posted by The Sim Capper at 11:16 PM 5 comments

Monday, December 7, 2009

Holy Crap Best Week Ever

14-2 (87.5%) Straight up, with 4 correct underdog picks (SEA line closed at +1)
14-2 (87.5%) ATS
12-4 (75.0%) O/U

Including the analysis posted in a Week 13 Picks comment predicting MIA win over NE by a last minute FG.

Season Results

Things really started to turn around when I made the 2nd adjustment to the scores, beginning in week 9.
Here are NFLSim's mind-blowing results from the past 3 weeks:

38-10 (79%) straight up
33-11 (75%) ATS; 24-4 (86%) when pick is at least 60% confident
32-14 (70%) O/U


STRAIGHT UP


CONFIDENCE
 GAMES
 CORRECT
 % CORRECT
50-59
 19
 13
 68.4%
60-69
 18
 15
 83.3%
70-79
 11
 10
 90.9%
80-89
 0
 0
 ---
90-100
 0
 0
 ---
TOTAL
 48
 38
 79.2%




ATS


CONFIDENCE
 GAMES
 CORRECT
 % CORRECT
50-59
 16
 9
 56.3%
60-69
 22
 19
 86.4%
70-79
 6
 5
 83.3%
80-89
 0
 0
 ---
90-100
 0
 0
 ---
TOTAL
 44
 33
 75.0%




O/U


CONFIDENCE
 GAMES
 CORRECT
 % CORRECT
50-59
 33
 23
 69.7%
60-69
 12
 8
 66.7%
70-79
 0
 0
 ---
80-89
 1
 1
 100.0%
90-100
 0
 0
 ---
TOTAL
 46
 32
 69.6%
Posted by The Sim Capper at 11:08 PM 3 comments

Thursday, December 3, 2009

Week 13 Picks

Week 13 Picks, Stats & Fantasy
Posted by The Sim Capper at 10:10 AM 6 comments

Results Spreadsheet

Finally on a good run. Hoping the mid-season lull is over.

Over the past 2 weeks, NFLSim is 24-8 (75%) straight up; 19-9 (68%) ATS; 20-10 (67%) O/U.
---------
Here are the results from the rest of the season:
2009 Season Results

I divided the season into 3 sets of 4 weeks, 1-4, 5-8, and 9-12. At week 5 I made an adjustment to the way the spread was calculated. At week 9 I rolled back that adjustment and started a new one. The new one seems to be working well.


On the bottom of the worksheet, you'll find some more info.

---------
Week 11 record:

STRAIGHT UP

CONFIDENCE
 GAMES
 CORRECT
 % CORRECT
50-59
 6
 5
 83.33%
60-69
 8
 5
 62.50%
70-79
 2
 2
 100.00%
80-89
 0
 0
 ---
90-100
 0
 0
 ---
TOTAL
 16
 12
 75.00%




ATS


CONFIDENCE
 GAMES
 CORRECT
 % CORRECT
50-59
 6
 3
 50.00%
60-69
 5
 4
 80.00%
70-79
 3
 3
 100.00%
80-89
 0
 0
 ---
90-100
 0
 0
 ---
TOTAL
 14
 10
 71.43%




O/U


CONFIDENCE
 GAMES
 CORRECT
 % CORRECT
50-59
 10
 7
 70.00%
60-69
 5
 4
 80.00%
70-79
 0
 0
 ---
80-89
 0
 0
 ---
90-100
 0
 0
 ---
TOTAL
 15
 11
 73.33%


Week 12 record:

STRAIGHT UP

CONFIDENCE
 GAMES
 CORRECT
 % CORRECT
50-59
 6
 2
 33.33%
60-69
 5
 5
 100.00%
70-79
 5
 5
 100.00%
80-89
 0
 0
 ---
90-100
 0
 0
 ---
TOTAL
 16
 12
 75.00%




ATS


CONFIDENCE
 GAMES
 CORRECT
 % CORRECT
50-59
 4
 2
 50.00%
60-69
 8
 6
 75.00%
70-79
 2
 1
 50.00%
80-89
 0
 0
 ---
90-100
 0
 0
 ---
TOTAL
 14
 9
 64.29%




O/U


CONFIDENCE
 GAMES
 CORRECT
 % CORRECT
50-59
 10
 6
 60.00%
60-69
 4
 2
 50.00%
70-79
 0
 0
 ---
80-89
 1
 1
 100.00%
90-100
 0
 0
 ---
TOTAL
 15
 9
 60.00%
Posted by The Sim Capper at 10:09 AM 0 comments
Subscribe to: Posts (Atom)