Friday, February 15, 2008

The Quest to Backtest

The Herculean task of acquiring past data and parsing it into a useful format has begun. Sometime in the next 6 months you can expect to see results from the first few weeks of the 2007 season, and possibly results from the 2006 season. Other stuff will be attempted as well.

2 comments:

  1. Hi Jonathon. I'm intrigued by your site. I hope you don't mind if I add a link to it. Looking forward to seeing more results in the future.

    If your simulator is good enough, it has the potential for many more applications than game prediction.

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  2. Hey Brian, Absolutely add the link. I'm looking for as much exposure as possible going into next season. I'll be happy to add a link to your site as well (Where is it?)

    More results are in the pipeline, but of course I have to work around school, so it make take anywhere from a few weeks to a few months for the 2007 season to be completely tested. I'd also like to pair it with a full season of simulated betting, using my Black Box Betting Algorithms. Do you or anyone else reading this know where I can find the spreads and over/unders for each week, preferably with payouts listed?

    I'd also like to hear your thoughts about other potential applications. This is a highly specialized program, but I suppose some algorithms can be generalized for other purposes. (Think basketball...)

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