Week 10: Results

Week 10 was disappointing in terms of ATS and O/U, but NFLSim picked 11-3 straight up, so it wasn't all bad. The 50-59% games really got slammed, but if you read the Midseason Progressive Results post, you wouldn't have bet on them anyway. After this week, 60+% ATS and O/U picks are still 61.3 and 66.7% on the season, respectively.

I just found out about another NFL simulator over at www.whatifsports.com, a division of Fox Sports. Actually, they've got a pretty cool setup. They let you simulate games using teams from different seasons. I can't find their pick record, but someone posted that they are 69.5% straight up and 53.7% ATS on the season. No confidence numbers were available. On the season they beat AccuScore and NFLSim by a few % points, but when picks are made based on confidence, NFLSim has a substantial edge.

Straight	%	Wins	Games	Win %
	50-59	6	7	85.7%
	60-69	2	4	50.0%
	70-79	3	3	100.0%
	80-89	0	0	---
	90-100	0	0	---
	Total	11	14	78.6%
Spread	%	Wins	Games	Win %
	50-59	1	9	11.1%
	60-69	1	2	50.0%
	70-79	1	3	33.3%
	80-89	0	0	---
	90-100	0	0	---
	Total	3	14	21.4%
Total		Wins	Games	Win %
	50-59	4	12	33.3%
	60-69	1	2	50.0%
	70-79	0	0	---
	80-89	0	0	---
	90-100	0	0	---
	Total	5	14	35.7%