| Week 11 | YDS/PASS | YDS/PLAY | YDS/PT | QB RATING |
| Arizona Cardinals | 8.22 | 5.52 | 13.70 | 108.29 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 7.93 | 5.92 | 14.61 | 105.39 |
| Baltimore Ravens | 6.50 | 4.44 | 14.86 | 82.55 |
| Buffalo Bills | 8.03 | 5.60 | 12.55 | 99.65 |
| Carolina Panthers | 8.24 | 5.69 | 13.04 | 104.08 |
| Chicago Bears | 5.06 | 4.07 | 12.73 | 64.71 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 6.17 | 4.45 | 16.77 | 73.28 |
| Cleveland Browns | 6.20 | 4.53 | 15.03 | 83.65 |
| Dallas Cowboys | 6.45 | 4.60 | 16.68 | 81.16 |
| Denver Broncos | 6.76 | 5.17 | 14.54 | 86.81 |
| Detroit Lions | 5.72 | 4.30 | 16.50 | 74.13 |
| Green Bay Packers | 7.25 | 4.97 | 13.48 | 94.74 |
| Houston Texans | 5.86 | 4.54 | 14.02 | 78.42 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 7.94 | 5.60 | 13.70 | 98.65 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 6.97 | 4.94 | 14.82 | 88.92 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 6.67 | 5.11 | 13.90 | 86.81 |
| Miami Dolphins | 7.49 | 5.42 | 13.22 | 94.58 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 6.16 | 4.62 | 15.26 | 76.51 |
| New England Patriots | 7.15 | 4.92 | 12.35 | 98.34 |
| New Orleans Saints | 8.01 | 5.76 | 14.63 | 101.83 |
| New York Giants | 6.52 | 5.00 | 14.33 | 81.69 |
| New York Jets | 7.34 | 5.40 | 15.38 | 87.26 |
| Oakland Raiders | 6.27 | 4.48 | 17.35 | 77.90 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 6.70 | 4.95 | 12.76 | 96.44 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 7.41 | 4.86 | 13.89 | 95.48 |
| San Diego Chargers | 6.95 | 4.53 | 13.89 | 91.91 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 6.80 | 5.20 | 15.93 | 83.15 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 6.40 | 4.88 | 13.35 | 83.52 |
| St. Louis Rams | 5.82 | 4.31 | 14.39 | 76.82 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 7.04 | 5.09 | 15.14 | 93.85 |
| Tennessee Titans | 6.50 | 4.77 | 13.70 | 87.08 |
| Washington Redskins | 7.25 | 5.42 | 12.59 | 101.63 |
| Average | 6.87 | 4.97 | 14.35 | 88.73 |
Showing posts with label NFL Week 11. Show all posts
Showing posts with label NFL Week 11. Show all posts
Saturday, November 15, 2008
Week 11: Stats
Thursday, November 13, 2008
Week 11: Predictions
Believe it or not, only one upset this week: WAS over DAL, 76%, even with Tony Romeo back in the lineup. That's actually the biggest confidence for an upset this season, but I'd be a little cautious considering the recent personnel changes.
NYJ at NE -3.5, 43
NYJ: 22.10
NE: 24.59
Winner: NE, 58%
Spread: NYJ +3.5, 51%
O/U: OVER, 59%
BAL at NYG -6.5, 41.5
BAL: 19.17
NYG: 20.53
Winner: NYG, 54%
Spread: BAL +6.5, 66%
O/U: UNDER, 59%
CHI at GB -3.5, 43
CHI: 20.37
GB: 21.81
Winner: GB, 52%
Spread: CHI +3.5, 55%
O/U: UNDER, 53%
DEN at ATL -6.5, 51
DEN: 21.29
ATL: 26.10
Winner: ATL, 63%
Spread: DEN +6.5, 56%
O/U: UNDER, 65%
DET at CAR -14, 40
DET: 15.98
CAR: 26.87
Winner: CAR, 76%
Spread: DET +14, 65%
O/U: OVER, 56%
HOU at IND -9, 50.5
HOU: 21.08
IND: 24.30
Winner: IND, 62%
Spread: HOU +6, 64%
O/U: UNDER, 65%
MIN at TB -4, 38.5
MIN: 19.20
TB: 20.28
Winner: TB, 51%
Spread: MIN +4, 63%
O/U: OVER, 51%
NO -5.5 at KC, 49.5
NO: 24.99
KC: 22.22
Winner: NO, 63%
Spread: KC +5.5, 60%
O/U: UNDER, 61%
OAK at MIA -10.5, 38.5
OAK: 16.13
MIA: 25.05
Winner: MIA, 71%
Spread: OAK +10.5, 57%
O/U: OVER, 52%
PHI -9 at CIN, 41.5
PHI: 26.05
CIN: 15.76
Winner: PHI, 75% ***Seriously? A tie?
Spread: PHI -9, 52%
O/U: UNDER, 57%
ARI -3 at SEA, 47.5
ARI: 25.36
SEA: 21.40
Winner: ARI, 62%
Spread: ARI -3, 52%
O/U: UNDER, 53%
STL at SF -6.5, 44.5
STL: 18.71
SF: 19.43
Winner: SF, 54%
Spread: STL +6.5, 67%
O/U: UNDER, 70%
SD at PIT -5, 42.5
SD: 20.15
PIT: 21.15
Winner: PIT, 51%
Spread: SD +5, 62%
O/U: UNDER, 54%
TEN -3 at JAX, 39.5
TEN: 22.49
JAX: 19.69
Winner: TEN, 59%
Spread: JAX +3, 52%
O/U: OVER, 58%
DAL -1.5 at WAS, 43
DAL: 16.83
WAS: 25.59
Winner: WAS, 76%
Spread: WAS +1.5, 77%
O/U: UNDER, 53%
CLE at BUF -5, 42.5
CLE: 18.91
BUF: 26.61
Winner: BUF, 71%
Spread: BUF -5, 51%
O/U: OVER, 58%
NYJ at NE -3.5, 43
NYJ: 22.10
NE: 24.59
Winner: NE, 58%
Spread: NYJ +3.5, 51%
O/U: OVER, 59%
BAL at NYG -6.5, 41.5
BAL: 19.17
NYG: 20.53
Winner: NYG, 54%
Spread: BAL +6.5, 66%
O/U: UNDER, 59%
CHI at GB -3.5, 43
CHI: 20.37
GB: 21.81
Winner: GB, 52%
Spread: CHI +3.5, 55%
O/U: UNDER, 53%
DEN at ATL -6.5, 51
DEN: 21.29
ATL: 26.10
Winner: ATL, 63%
Spread: DEN +6.5, 56%
O/U: UNDER, 65%
DET at CAR -14, 40
DET: 15.98
CAR: 26.87
Winner: CAR, 76%
Spread: DET +14, 65%
O/U: OVER, 56%
HOU at IND -9, 50.5
HOU: 21.08
IND: 24.30
Winner: IND, 62%
Spread: HOU +6, 64%
O/U: UNDER, 65%
MIN at TB -4, 38.5
MIN: 19.20
TB: 20.28
Winner: TB, 51%
Spread: MIN +4, 63%
O/U: OVER, 51%
NO -5.5 at KC, 49.5
NO: 24.99
KC: 22.22
Winner: NO, 63%
Spread: KC +5.5, 60%
O/U: UNDER, 61%
OAK at MIA -10.5, 38.5
OAK: 16.13
MIA: 25.05
Winner: MIA, 71%
Spread: OAK +10.5, 57%
O/U: OVER, 52%
PHI -9 at CIN, 41.5
PHI: 26.05
CIN: 15.76
Winner: PHI, 75% ***Seriously? A tie?
Spread: PHI -9, 52%
O/U: UNDER, 57%
ARI -3 at SEA, 47.5
ARI: 25.36
SEA: 21.40
Winner: ARI, 62%
Spread: ARI -3, 52%
O/U: UNDER, 53%
STL at SF -6.5, 44.5
STL: 18.71
SF: 19.43
Winner: SF, 54%
Spread: STL +6.5, 67%
O/U: UNDER, 70%
SD at PIT -5, 42.5
SD: 20.15
PIT: 21.15
Winner: PIT, 51%
Spread: SD +5, 62%
O/U: UNDER, 54%
TEN -3 at JAX, 39.5
TEN: 22.49
JAX: 19.69
Winner: TEN, 59%
Spread: JAX +3, 52%
O/U: OVER, 58%
DAL -1.5 at WAS, 43
DAL: 16.83
WAS: 25.59
Winner: WAS, 76%
Spread: WAS +1.5, 77%
O/U: UNDER, 53%
CLE at BUF -5, 42.5
CLE: 18.91
BUF: 26.61
Winner: BUF, 71%
Spread: BUF -5, 51%
O/U: OVER, 58%
Wednesday, November 12, 2008
Week 10: Results
Week 10 was disappointing in terms of ATS and O/U, but NFLSim picked 11-3 straight up, so it wasn't all bad. The 50-59% games really got slammed, but if you read the Midseason Progressive Results post, you wouldn't have bet on them anyway. After this week, 60+% ATS and O/U picks are still 61.3 and 66.7% on the season, respectively.
I just found out about another NFL simulator over at www.whatifsports.com, a division of Fox Sports. Actually, they've got a pretty cool setup. They let you simulate games using teams from different seasons. I can't find their pick record, but someone posted that they are 69.5% straight up and 53.7% ATS on the season. No confidence numbers were available. On the season they beat AccuScore and NFLSim by a few % points, but when picks are made based on confidence, NFLSim has a substantial edge.
I just found out about another NFL simulator over at www.whatifsports.com, a division of Fox Sports. Actually, they've got a pretty cool setup. They let you simulate games using teams from different seasons. I can't find their pick record, but someone posted that they are 69.5% straight up and 53.7% ATS on the season. No confidence numbers were available. On the season they beat AccuScore and NFLSim by a few % points, but when picks are made based on confidence, NFLSim has a substantial edge.
| Straight | % | Wins | Games | Win % |
| 50-59 | 6 | 7 | 85.7% | |
| 60-69 | 2 | 4 | 50.0% | |
| 70-79 | 3 | 3 | 100.0% | |
| 80-89 | 0 | 0 | --- | |
| 90-100 | 0 | 0 | --- | |
| Total | 11 | 14 | 78.6% | |
| Spread | % | Wins | Games | Win % |
| 50-59 | 1 | 9 | 11.1% | |
| 60-69 | 1 | 2 | 50.0% | |
| 70-79 | 1 | 3 | 33.3% | |
| 80-89 | 0 | 0 | --- | |
| 90-100 | 0 | 0 | --- | |
| Total | 3 | 14 | 21.4% | |
| Total | Wins | Games | Win % | |
| 50-59 | 4 | 12 | 33.3% | |
| 60-69 | 1 | 2 | 50.0% | |
| 70-79 | 0 | 0 | --- | |
| 80-89 | 0 | 0 | --- | |
| 90-100 | 0 | 0 | --- | |
| Total | 5 | 14 | 35.7% |
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