Thursday, September 18, 2008

Week 3 Predictions

This is the first time NFLSim has predicted all of the favorites to win. Also, something unusual - all home teams are favorites except for DAL at GB. Anyone know when the last time all home teams were favorites? I sure don't.

KC at ATL -5.5
Winner: ATL, 64%
Spread: ATL -5.5, 52%

OAK at BUF -9.5
Winner: BUF, 79%
Spread: BUF -9.5, 55%

TB at CHI -3
Winner: CHI, 55%
Spread: EVEN

CAR at MIN -3
Winner: MIN, 63%
Spread: MIN -3, 54%

MIA at NE -12.5
Winner: NE, 90%
Spread: NE -12.5, 66%

CIN at NYG -13.5
Winner: NYG, 84%
Spread: NYG -13.5, 51%

HOU at TEN -5
Winner: TEN, 87%
Spread: TEN -5, 77%

ARI at WAS -3
Winner: WAS, 51%
Spread: ARI +3, 61%

DET at SF -4
Winner: SF, 79%
Spread: SF -4, 65%

STL at SEA -9.5
Winner: SEA, 71%
Spread: STL +9.5, 58%

NO at DEN -5.5
Winner: DEN, 70%
Spread: DEN -5.5, 57%

PIT at PHI -3.5
Winner: PHI, 62%
Spread: EVEN

JAX at IND -5
Winner: IND, 71%
Spread: IND -5, 55%

CLE at BAL -2.5
Winner: BAL, 97%
Spread: BAL -2.5, 96%

DAL -3 at GB
Winner: DAL, 54%
Spread: GB +3, 59%

NYJ at SD -9
Winner: SD, 53%
Spread: NYJ +9, 75%

2 comments:

  1. Didn't expect you to give the Chargers just a 53% at the su win with an 0-2 record on national tv Monday night.

    They've lost to two top 10 teams according to my power ratings to date.

    The Jets on the other hand have beat a bottom feeder in Miami and an average New England team.

    I didn't like how the Jets offense has looked in either of those games so the Chargers D should have an easier time of it least I think...

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  2. I agree with you, the Chargers are definitely a better team. The simulation doesn't take into account strength of schedule yet.

    The sim says that the Chargers' passing game is a little better, but the Jets' run game is much better. For the Jets to win, their rush core is really going to have to perform.

    It doesn't help that LT is currently listed as questionable. Win or lose, a 9 point spread seems very generous.

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