Showing posts with label Handicapper. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Handicapper. Show all posts

Friday, October 31, 2008

Week 9: Predictions

ARI -3 at STL, 48
Winner:
ARI, 51%
Spread:
STL +3, 61%
O/U:
OVER, 54%

BAL at CLE -1.5, 36.5
Winner:
BAL, 59%
Spread:
BAL +1.5, 61%
O/U:
OVER, 53%

DET at CHI -13, 43
Winner:
CHI, 79%
Spread:
DET +13, 64%
O/U:
OVER, 61%

GB at TEN -5.5, 41.5
Winner:
TEN, 64%
Spread:
GB +5.5, 53%
O/U:
UNDER, 51%

HOU at MIN -4.5, 47
Winner:
MIN, 51%
Spread:
HOU +4.5, 62%
O/U: OVER, 52%

JAX -7.5 at CIN, 40
Winner:
JAX, 59%
Spread:
CIN +7.5, 64%
O/U:
OVER, 61%

NYJ at BUF -5.5, 42
Winner:
BUF, 66%
Spread:
BUF -5.5, 54%
O/U:
OVER, 55%

TB -9 at KC, 36.5
Winner:
TB, 60%
Spread:
KC +9, 68%
O/U: OVER, 68%

MIA at DEN -3.5, 49
Winner:
MIA, 56%
Spread:
MIA +3.5, 72%
O/U: OVER, 55%

ATL -3 at OAK, 41
Winner:
OAK, 54%
Spread:
OAK +3, 65%
O/U: OVER, 61%

DAL at NYG -9, 41
Winner:
NYG, 79%
Spread:
DAL +9, 54%
O/U:
UNDER, 58%

PHI -7 at SEA, 43
Winner:
PHI, 76%
Spread:
SEA +7, 52%
O/U:
OVER, 60%

NE at IND -6, 44
Winner:
NE, 57%
Spread:
NE +6, 74%
O/U:
OVER, 58%

PIT at WAS -1.5, 37
Winner:
WAS, 67%
Spread:
WAS -1.5, 65%
O/U:
OVER, 54%

Monday, February 4, 2008

My First Post, an Introduction

If you've read the 'About Me' column then you already know about me and my program. Over the past 6 months, I've worked everyday to perfect this simulator. By week 12 I was able to start picking games straight up. I managed to get the spread/over/under feature working just in time for the playoffs.

It hadn't occurred to me to create a blog to document my progress until...this afternoon. I stumbled onto a blog here during my search for solid statistics showing the win percentages of 'experts', handicappers, and websites- some of which, as you know, charge hundreds of dollars for one week of picks. I was curious to see how the success of 'expert handicappers with 20 years of experience' compared to the success of 'some kid with with a computer'. I was ecstatic to see that not one entity came close to matching me.

Unfortunately, my lack of a blog has prevented me from sharing my prognostications with the public until now. Therefore, I shall present to you all of my results, along with all 'theoretical' bets* that may have been placed on those picks. This will demonstrate both the accuracy and efficacy of my program.

*The amount of each bet may seem weird- the size of each bet was determined using a formula which takes into account the probability of a win, the payout, and the bankroll, in order to maximize profit and minimize losses...duh.